Original Articles 230
Factors associated
with attrition in patients with breast cancer: A
retrospective study
PRIYA HAZRAH, RAJINDER PARSHAD, MASHAAL DHIR, RAJVIR SINGH
ABSTRACT
Background.
Attrition in
follow up is a key limitation of longitudinal studies,
especially in cancer patients in developing countries. We
did a retrospective analysis of possible factors that
resulted in attrition of patients with breast cancer during
follow up.
Methods.
This study
is a comparison between patients who came for a follow up
regularly to our clinic with those who did not but could be
contacted on phone or by post. A computerized grouped
database was constructed with the following parameters: age,
religious community, other co-morbid conditions if present,
distance from place of residence to our city, residence in
city/village, initial stage of the disease, type of
treatment and disease relapse or death.
Results.
Using binary logistic regression, disease relapse
was found to be the most important cause of non-compliance.
The odds ratio for irregularity or loss to follow up of
patients with disease relapse was 2.53 (95% CI: 1.175.46;
p=0.02) for patients who were alive with disease relapse and
6.18 (95% CI: 3.4711.02; p<0.001) for patients who
had died due to the disease compared with those who were
alive and free of disease. The age and place of residence in
a village were other significant factors. The odds of
attrition due to age were 1.03 (95% CI: 1.011.05; p=0.04)
for each year of increase in age and that of residence in a
village was 1.85 (95% CI: 1.023.36; p=0.04).
Conclusion. Age,
disease relapse and residing in a village are important
causes of attrition during follow up of patients with breast
cancer in India.
Natl
Med J India 2007;20:230κ3
INTRODUCTION
Attrition in follow up of patients recruited for clinical
trials is a key reason for incomplete data in longitudinal
studies. In patients with malignancies, disease progression
can be an important cause of attrition, i.e. patients may
fail to return because they have suffered exactly those
events which are of interest to the investigators; for
example, they died or had a relapse of disease. Conversely,
patients who feel entirely healthy may also not return for
evaluation because it is not their priority any more.1The
assumption that the data are missing at random is usually
unjustified in the setting of cancer clinical trials and
recommendations have been made to minimize missing data and
document reasons for the same.2Therefore, it is
important to identify the possible predictors of, and
identify groups at high risk for attrition, and find methods
to prevent this.
Breast cancer is the second most common
cancer in Indian women and is fast emerging as the most
common cancer among women in metropolitan cities in India.
In the absence of effective screening programmes for early
detection of breast cancer, it is important to institute
appropriate methods of treatment with early identification
and treatment of relapse, which has been suggested to
improve the outcome of such patients.3,4 However, attrition
is often high and remains a key drawback in the treatment
and follow up of patients in India.
Few studies have evaluated factors that
affect the rates of attrition in patients with breast
cancer,5-7 but we found no study from India in the indexed
literature. As challenges related to recruitment and
retention in cancer trials vary by geographical location and
among ethnic groups,5,8 it is important to identify
subgroups with the highest risk of attrition in a given area
or community. In India, the diverse socioeconomic, cultural
and ethnic backgrounds can have a bearing on attrition.
We did this study to identify the
potential causes of attrition in the follow up of patients
with breast cancer treated at a tertiary care centre in
India.
METHODS
This is a retrospective study of patients who received
treatment for breast cancer during 19942003 in a single
surgical unit at the All India Institute of Medical Sciences
and made at least one follow up visit to the clinic.
Patients were counselled regarding the disease, available
treatment options, chances of disease relapse and the
importance of regular follow up. After completion of therapy
they were advised to come for a follow up every 3 months for
the first 2 years, every 6 months for the next 3 years and
yearly thereafter. Detailed information regarding the
initial clinical history, findings at examination,
investigations, treatment received as also of clinical and
investigative observations at follow up evaluations of
breast cancer patients enrolled in the clinic are recorded
in individual patient files maintained by the unit and data
from these files were used for the purpose of the study.
Follow up data were categorized into 2
groups, i.e. for patients who complied with the
above-mentioned recommendations and those who did not. The
following categories of patients were considered as
compliers:
-
Those who
completed the treatment and came for at least 5 years
for follow up.
-
Those who
did not come to the clinic, but their relatives
informed us about their status.
-
Those who
missed a few visits in between but subsequently
followed up regularly on their own.
-
Those
with terminal illness at the time of last follow up.
-
Those who
died before the recommended next follow up visit.
Efforts
were made to contact those patients who did not comply with
telephone calls and letters to know the potential causes of
attrition in this group.
Statistical analysis was done using the
SPSS software. A computerized grouped database was created
using the above information and the following statistical
tests were done.
-
Chi-square
tests
-
MannWhitney
U tests
-
Binary
logistic regression
In
multivariate analysis, the dependent variable was compliance
to regular follow up (0 compliers, 1 non-compliers) and the
independent variables analysed were: (i) age; (ii) religious
community; (iii) presence of other co-morbid illnesses; (iv)
distance from city of residence to Delhi calculated with
distance calculator between cities; (v) place of residence
(city or village); (vi) marital status; (vii) the
initial stage of the disease; (viii) surgical therapy; (ix)
whether adjuvant systemic therapy was given and the type of
such therapy; (x) radiotherapy received; (xi) disease
progression, relapse or death due to disease. The variable
of sex was not included in the analysis due to the low
incidence of breast cancer in men. Socioeconomic factors,
literacy rates and psychological factors could not be
included due to difficulty in assessing these variables
retrospectively.
TABLE
I. Comparison of variables between compliers and
non-compliers
| Variable |
Categories |
Compliers
(n=219) |
Non-compliers
(n=134) |
p
value |
| Place
of residence |
City |
175 |
95 |
0.053 |
| |
Village |
44 |
39 |
|
| Marital
status |
Married |
213 |
130 |
1.00 |
| |
Single |
6 |
4 |
|
| Stage
of disease |
1 |
13 |
5 |
0.216 |
| |
2 and
3 |
185 |
109 |
|
| |
4 |
21 |
20 |
|
| Co-morbid
conditions |
Absent |
198 |
118 |
0.484 |
| |
Present |
21 |
16 |
|
| Disease
outcome |
Alive
without disesase |
167 |
59 |
<0.0001 |
| |
Alive
with disease |
20 |
19 |
|
| |
Died
due to disease |
32 |
56 |
|
| Religious
community |
Hindus |
184 |
113 |
0.812 |
| |
Muslims |
23 |
12 |
|
| |
Christians
and others |
12 |
9 |
|
| Definitive
surgical therapy |
Received |
198 |
113 |
0.070 |
| |
Not
Received |
21 |
21 |
|
| Systemic
therapy (chemo- and hormone therapy) |
Received
both |
155 |
92 |
0.084 |
| |
Either |
62 |
38 |
|
| |
Neither |
2 |
4 |
|
| Radiotherapy |
Received |
106 |
63 |
0.859 |
| |
Not
received |
113 |
71 |
|
| Distance
categories |
Residents
of Delhi |
109 |
67 |
0.223 |
| |
Within
a radius of 50 km |
40 |
16 |
|
| |
Beyond
a radius of 50 km |
70 |
51 |
|
| Mean
(SD) age (in years) |
|
47.37
(10.82) |
44.08
(9.39) |
0.077 |
| Mean
(SD) distance (km) |
|
264
(342) |
258
(310) |
0.44 |
RESULTS
Three hundred and
seventy-five patients who had completed therapy were followed
up during the study period. There were 370 women and 5 men. Of
these, 353 patients (94%) could be contacted on phone, by post
or came on their own for follow up; 22 patients (6%) who could
not be contacted and their current status could not be
ascertained were not included in the analysis.
Sixty-two
per cent (219/353) came for follow up visits regularly and
38% (134/353) were tracked with phone calls or letters. The
median follow up of the entire group was 35.8 months.
The
mean (SD) age of the study group was 47.34 (10.75) years,
median 46 years, range 2580 years. Table I shows the
descriptive variables studied with respect to their
proportion in compliers and non-compliers. The proportion of
patients with disease relapse was significantly higher in
the group of non-compliers. A higher number of patients were
from cities (270) than from villages (83); the difference
though was not significant. In multivariate analysis using
binary logistic regression and forward selection, disease
relapse was found to be the most important cause of
non-compliance. The odds ratio for attrition of patients
with disease relapse was 2.53 (95% CI: 1.175.46; p=0.02)
for patients who were alive with disease relapse and 6.18
(95% CI: 3.4711.02; p<0.001) for patients
who had died due to the disease (Tables II and III) compared
with those who were alive and free of disease. Age and place
of residence in a village were also significant but at lower
odds. The odds ratio for each year increase in age was 1.03
(95% CI: 1.011.05; p=0.04) and for place of residence in
a village it was 1.85 (95% CI: 1.023.36; p=0.04).
TABLE
II. Univariate
analysis of the variables studied
| Variable |
Categories |
Odds
ratio (95% CI) |
p
value |
| Place
of residence |
City |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Village |
1.61
(0.813.22) |
0.17 |
| Marital
status |
Married |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Single |
1.26
(0.275.82) |
0.77 |
| Stage
of disease |
1 |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
2 and
3 |
0.82
(0.441.50) |
0.51 |
| |
4 |
0.80
(0.262.45) |
0.70 |
| Co-morbid
conditions |
Absent |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Present |
1.18
(0.522.68) |
0.69 |
| Disease
outcome |
Alive
without disease |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Alive
with disease |
2.75
(1.216.28) |
0.02 |
| |
Died
due to disease |
7.94
(4.0115.752) |
<0.001 |
| Religious
community |
Hindus |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Muslims |
1.09
(0.432.74) |
0.86 |
| |
Christians
and others |
1.60
(0.564.36) |
0.40 |
| Definitive
surgical therapy |
Received |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Not
received |
0.70
(0.261.89) |
0.48 |
| Systemic
therapy (chemo- and hormone therapy) |
Received
both |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Either |
0.82
(0.451.50) |
0.517 |
| |
Neither |
170 (013) |
0.70 |
| Radiotherapy |
Received |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Not
received |
1.03
(0.581.81) |
0.92 |
| Distance |
Resident
of Delhi |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Within
a radius of 50 km |
0.68
(0.311.50) |
0.34 |
| |
Beyond
a radius of 50 km |
1.40
(0.722.73) |
0.32 |
| Age (in years) |
- |
1.03
(1.001.05) |
0.05 |
TABLE
III. Significant
factors in binary logistic regression using step-wise
selection
| Variable |
Categories |
Odds
ratio (95% CI) |
p
value |
| Disease |
Alive
without disease |
1
(reference category) |
|
| outcome |
Alive
with disease |
2.53
(1.175.46) |
0.021 |
| |
Died
due to disease |
6.18
(3.4711.02) |
<0.001 |
| Age
(in years) |
- |
1.03
(1.011.05) |
0.04 |
| Residence |
City |
1
(reference category) |
|
| |
Village |
1.85
(1.023.36) |
0.04 |
Among 134 patients who
did not comply, 59 (44%) had no disease relapse while 75
(56%) had disease relapse or had died due to disease
progression. Ninety-one per cent of the latter group (68/75)
had disease at last follow up, i.e. at the time when they
stopped coming to the clinic.
DISCUSSION
Most studies evaluating causes of attrition report a
non-random pattern of data loss with identifiable factors
related to the characteristics of the general population,
healthcare delivery systems and disease.5,7,9-18
In our study disease relapse was the most important
predictor of attrition in the follow up of patients treated
for breast cancer. Death, severity of illness and ill health
have been identified to be important risk factors for
attrition.8,12,13
High initial symptoms with advanced cancers in palliative
settings, depression related to ill health and treatment
failure are other causes that have been proposed for the
attrition in follow up of patients with cancer.8,11,18,20
In our study, over 90% of patients with disease
relapse made at least one follow up visit to the clinic
after disease relapse but discontinued
thereafter.
Though
depression, nihilism, lack of social support in patients
with disease relapse could have been possible factors, we
feel that economic constraints of affording costlier
second-line treatment regimens prescribed to some of the
patients may be a reason for attrition in Indian patients.
We
found increasing age to be a risk factor for attrition in
follow up. Age of the patient has been reported to be
independently responsible for a decreased survival in
patients with breast cancer in all stages.21 Also, it has been shown that limitations due to
co-morbid conditions and lack of social support, especially
in single elderly people, result in a poorer outcome in
patients with cancer.22,23 Age has
also been shown to be a factor for non-response to mailed
clinical questionnaires.7,12,17 Our
observations also suggest that patients residing in villages
were more likely to not come back for follow up visits. This
was despite the relatively smaller number of patients from
villages in our study. The place of residence reflects, to
an extent, the socio-economic and literacy status of the
patients, work habits, difficulties related to travel and
support, and access to alternative healthcare options.24-26
In a study assessing the needs of rural women and women from
remote areas travelling to a city for treatment of breast
cancer, lack of social and logistical support largely
related to lack of financial assistance were identified as
prime concerns.25
We did
not find the distance to be travelled for follow up to be an
independent cause for attrition even though it has been
reported to be responsible for non-attendance in breast
cancer screening programmes,15,17 and
in determining the treatment options27 in patients with breast cancer. While a precise cut-off
value beyond which travel distance can be
incriminated is not established, a travel time of >2
hours has been shown to influence attendance in breast cancer screening
and treatment programmes. In addition, the availability of
transport and timing of the day during which an interview
was scheduled have been shown to affect attendance in
screening clinics. Others have suggested a role of
motivation or socioeconomic factors rather than travel
distance as a risk factor resulting in attrition among
patients who live far away from the healthcare facility.15,16
The
initial stage at presentation, the religious community to
which the patient belonged, presence of co-morbid conditions
and type of therapy administered (locoregional or systemic
therapy) were not significant factors for attrition in
follow up in our study. Women, minority communities and
certain ethnic groups have been previously identified to
have a higher dropout rate.5,7,10,1318
The association between co-morbid conditions and
disease outcome has been variably reported. The presence of
co-morbid conditions has been observed to negatively affect
prognosis, stage of disease and treatment.28
Some influence on the early detection, both positive and
negative, has been suggested. In addition, co-morbid
conditions can influence treatment options as well as affect
the attendance at a follow up clinic. Social status, wealth
and literacy are other reasons cited for attrition in the
literature.10,13,15,18 The inability
to analyse socioeconomic and literacy status is a limitation
of our study. However, patients attending our clinic
generally belong to the lower socioeconomic strata.
Community-based
educational intervention programmes related to awareness of
breast diseases have been shown to be effective in improving
the public attitude in screening for cancers.29
However, such interventions in assessing follow up of
treated breast cancer patients have not been studied. We
specifically advised our patients about the necessity for
regular follow up visits at the time of initial therapy.
Interference
with work, lack of time, misinformation regarding the
usefulness of the procedure, difficulty in rescheduling
appointments, lack of flexibility and change in the place of
residence have been also cited as reasons for non-compliance
in varied situations.6,8,13,14,16It
is interesting that though there was an initial high rate of
dropout (about one-third of patients failed to come for a
follow up) in our study, efforts at reaching patients by
phone calls and letters were successful in a large number.
Only 6% of our patients could not be contacted despite
letters and phone calls. The success of data collection with
telephone interviews has been found to be effective in
certain situations though a follow up at the clinic is
better and a combined strategy of follow up may be
beneficial in reaching out to different population groups.30,31
In a study assessing clinical follow up by mailed
self-reported questionnaires in breast cancers, 16% were
non-responders and 4% were not contactable.7
In
conclusion, in patients with breast cancer, disease relapse,
increasing age and residing in a village are important risk
factors for attrition in follow up. Focusing on these groups
may help decrease the rates of attrition.
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